Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Eichel 45.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 26-25 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 53.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Stepan
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
25
(51 meetings)
26
25
Stepan
Eichel
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
13
Stepan
Eichel
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
12
3
Stepan
Eichel
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
10
9
Stepan
Eichel
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
44.7% (8,462)
+1.8%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.8% (925)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
38.3% (540)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Home / Away
Stepan
Eichel
Home
47.6% (6,608)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Stepan
Eichel
P1
47.5%
45.4%
P2
45.6%
45.8%
P3
46.8%
44.2%
OT
40.7%
44.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |