Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Eichel 42.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 55.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Stepan
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stepan
Eichel
Last 7: Stepan 3-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Stepan
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
2
Stepan
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
41.6% (791)
+5.4%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
50.0% (36)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
0.0% (9)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Eichel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Stepan
Eichel
Home
48.2% (761)
44.6% (408)
Away
47.3% (789)
38.6% (428)
By Period
Stepan
Eichel
P1
46.3%
43.0%
P2
50.4%
40.7%
P3
46.3%
41.7%
OT
55.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |