Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Josefson 48.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.0%
Defensive zone
Josefson 60.2%
Neutral zone
Josefson 56.0%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Stepan
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Stepan
Josefson
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
10
5
Stepan
Josefson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
7
Stepan
Josefson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Josefson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.8% (2,339)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.9% (185)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
45.8% (312)
-1.6%
On power play, Josefson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Josefson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Stepan
Josefson
Home
47.6% (6,608)
50.5% (1,517)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
46.8% (1,329)
By Period
Stepan
Josefson
P1
47.5%
46.4%
P2
45.6%
50.1%
P3
46.8%
49.8%
OT
40.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |