Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Josefson 48.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.5%
Defensive zone
Josefson 65.9%
Neutral zone
Josefson 50.9%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Stepan
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stepan
Josefson
Last 7: Stepan 4-3 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Josefson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
2
Stepan
Josefson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Josefson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
50.6% (178)
-2.6%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
53.8% (13)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
37.8% (45)
+3.8%
On power play, Josefson has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Josefson is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Stepan
Josefson
Home
47.4% (460)
50.0% (120)
Away
44.5% (517)
46.6% (116)
By Period
Stepan
Josefson
P1
50.3%
46.4%
P2
38.4%
50.6%
P3
49.4%
48.8%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |