Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Josefson 49.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Josefson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Josefson 58.9%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Stepan
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stepan
Josefson
Last 7: Stepan 4-3 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Josefson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Josefson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
49.7% (151)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
50.0% (2)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
46.7% (15)
-3.5%
On even strength, Josefson has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Josefson is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Stepan
Josefson
Home
47.8% (828)
43.0% (93)
Away
42.0% (684)
57.3% (75)
By Period
Stepan
Josefson
P1
49.5%
52.5%
P2
42.0%
47.2%
P3
44.3%
48.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |