Derek Stepan vs Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Karlsson 44.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 62.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 50.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 58.8%
Result
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Stepan
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Karlsson
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Stepan
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Stepan
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
42.2% (225)
+4.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
0.0% (1)
+48.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
50.0% (2)
-5.8%
On power play, Stepan has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Karlsson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Stepan
Karlsson
Home
47.6% (6,608)
43.0% (135)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Stepan
Karlsson
P1
47.5%
30.6%
P2
45.6%
54.0%
P3
46.8%
39.0%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |