Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs McClement 52.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 39-24 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 90.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 88.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Stepan
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
39
(63 meetings)
24
39
Stepan
McClement
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
5
Stepan
McClement
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
6
22
Stepan
McClement
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
7
12
Stepan
McClement
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
54.4% (4,305)
-7.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
62.5% (104)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
47.2% (1,440)
-3.0%
On power play, McClement has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
Home / Away
Stepan
McClement
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Stepan
McClement
P1
47.5%
53.5%
P2
45.6%
52.0%
P3
46.8%
53.2%
OT
40.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jay McClement |