Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs McClement 53.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 94.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 74.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 91.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Stepan
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
20
(27 meetings)
7
20
Stepan
McClement
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
McClement
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
11
Stepan
McClement
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
6
Stepan
McClement
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
55.7% (927)
-11.9%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
75.0% (12)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
47.0% (321)
-3.8%
On power play, McClement has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. McClement is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Stepan
McClement
Home
47.8% (828)
55.9% (571)
Away
42.0% (684)
51.8% (689)
By Period
Stepan
McClement
P1
49.5%
55.8%
P2
42.0%
52.3%
P3
44.3%
53.3%
OT
41.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |