Derek Stepan vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 62.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
3
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.0% (3,852)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.3% (351)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
45.7% (35)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
P1
47.5%
49.9%
P2
45.6%
50.4%
P3
46.8%
47.2%
OT
40.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |