Derek Stepan vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Kotkaniemi 44.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 52.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 85.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 63.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: Stepan 6-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
0
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
42.6% (270)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
47.4% (19)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
33.3% (3)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.4% (560)
42.8% (166)
Away
45.1% (637)
42.9% (126)
By Period
Stepan
Kotkaniemi
P1
47.4%
40.2%
P2
47.0%
45.5%
P3
48.1%
42.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
36.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |