Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Slater on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Slater 54.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 95.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 61.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 84.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Stepan
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Stepan
Slater
Last 9: Stepan 2-7 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Slater
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
5
Stepan
Slater
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
Stepan
Slater
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
55.5% (884)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
68.0% (25)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
50.0% (246)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Slater has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Slater is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Stepan
Slater
Home
45.6% (463)
58.1% (594)
Away
43.3% (404)
50.6% (571)
By Period
Stepan
Slater
P1
50.2%
53.6%
P2
39.4%
52.3%
P3
45.7%
57.2%
OT
38.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jim Slater |