Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Slater 53.1% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Slater 50.4%
Defensive zone
Slater 92.9%
Neutral zone
Slater 73.0%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Stepan
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stepan
Slater
Last 6: Stepan 4-2 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Slater
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
Stepan
Slater
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Slater
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
56.8% (190)
-8.8%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
0.0% (1)
+36.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
48.7% (76)
-7.1%
On power play, Stepan has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Slater is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Stepan
Slater
Home
47.4% (460)
59.8% (107)
Away
44.5% (517)
50.6% (160)
By Period
Stepan
Slater
P1
50.3%
54.8%
P2
38.4%
52.8%
P3
49.4%
56.5%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |