Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Slater 55.9% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 84.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 75.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Stepan
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Slater
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
1
Stepan
Slater
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Slater
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
Stepan
Slater
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
61.0% (195)
-17.2%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
50.0% (8)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
51.3% (78)
-8.1%
On even strength, Slater has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Slater is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Stepan
Slater
Home
47.8% (828)
58.6% (169)
Away
42.0% (684)
57.1% (112)
By Period
Stepan
Slater
P1
49.5%
57.0%
P2
42.0%
55.9%
P3
44.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jim Slater |