Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Ek 43.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 51.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 54.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 50.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Stepan
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stepan
Ek
Last 7: Stepan 3-4 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
2
Stepan
Ek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Ek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
43.5% (439)
+3.5%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
60.0% (5)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
25.0% (28)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Stepan shoots right. Ek is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Stepan
Ek
Home
48.2% (761)
46.5% (245)
Away
47.3% (789)
38.3% (227)
By Period
Stepan
Ek
P1
46.3%
43.3%
P2
50.4%
41.9%
P3
46.3%
42.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
35.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |