Who wins more faceoffs, Derek Stepan or Jonathan Marchessault?

Jonathan Marchessault leads the head-to-head 8-1 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Derek Stepan's faceoff record against Jonathan Marchessault?

Derek Stepan is 1-8 against Jonathan Marchessault in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-4, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 1-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Derek Stepan or Jonathan Marchessault?

Jonathan Marchessault is the predicted winner with a 72.1% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Derek Stepan vs Jonathan Marchessault

Derek StepanR vs Jonathan MarchessaultR

2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Derek Stepan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stepan 47.9% vs Marchessault 44.4% (+4.2%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Marchessault 74.5%

Defensive zone Marchessault 69.3%

Neutral zone Marchessault 70.3%

Result Jonathan Marchessault favored at 72.1%

27.9%

72.1%

Stepan Marchessault

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 8 (9 meetings)

Stepan Marchessault

Last 9: Stepan 1-8 Marchessault

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Marchessault

Stepan Marchessault

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Marchessault

Stepan Marchessault

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Marchessault

Stepan Marchessault

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Stepan

Marchessault

Edge

Even Strength

47.0% (1,210)

41.8% (546)

+5.2%

Power Play

51.7% (232)

60.3% (58)

-8.6%

Penalty Kill

47.2% (108)

33.3% (3)

+13.9%

On penalty kill, Stepan has a +13.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Marchessault shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).

Stepan shoots right. Marchessault is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (178).

Home / Away

Stepan

Marchessault

Home

48.2% (761)

42.8% (320)

Away

47.3% (789)

44.3% (287)

By Period

Stepan

Marchessault

46.3%

44.8%

50.4%

45.5%

46.3%

40.6%

55.2%

50.0%

Final 5 min

47.4%

38.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Stepan

50.0%▼

55.5%

47.7%

Marchessault

32.0%▬

32.0%

43.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 28, 2018	3	00:32	Defensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Dec 3, 2017	3	00:00	Neutral	Derek Stepan
Dec 3, 2017	2	10:29	Neutral	Jonathan Marchessault
Dec 3, 2017	1	17:11	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Dec 3, 2017	1	00:00	Neutral	Jonathan Marchessault
Nov 25, 2017	3	13:08	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Nov 25, 2017	3	10:35	Neutral	Jonathan Marchessault
Oct 10, 2017	2	12:42	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault
Oct 7, 2017	1	12:51	Offensive	Jonathan Marchessault

Stepan's Profile | Marchessault's Profile