Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 54 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 99-69 in 168 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 77.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 88.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 91.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
69
-
99
(168 meetings)
69
99
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
25
18
Stepan
Staal
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
17
37
Stepan
Staal
54 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
27
44
Stepan
Staal
71 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
55.9% (14,620)
-9.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
62.7% (1,745)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.0% (2,896)
-3.8%
On power play, Staal has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
47.6% (6,608)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
47.5%
55.2%
P2
45.6%
55.9%
P3
46.8%
54.9%
OT
40.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |