Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Staal 50.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 71.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 61.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 61.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
9
Stepan
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Stepan
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
49.7% (662)
-1.7%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
61.2% (103)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
44.3% (149)
-2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
47.4% (460)
50.0% (446)
Away
44.5% (517)
50.2% (468)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
50.3%
50.0%
P2
38.4%
49.5%
P3
49.4%
50.5%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2013 | OT | 03:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |