Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 64.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 71.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Stepan
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
7
Stepan
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
56.7% (750)
-9.9%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
62.5% (120)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
46.4% (153)
+1.9%
On power play, Staal has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
48.6% (666)
58.8% (522)
Away
46.1% (710)
52.7% (501)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
46.3%
60.8%
P2
50.7%
55.9%
P3
45.5%
51.7%
OT
39.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |