Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Jooris 48.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 69.3%
Defensive zone
Jooris 54.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Stepan
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stepan
Jooris
Last 9: Stepan 3-6 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
4
Stepan
Jooris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Jooris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Stepan
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.6% (1,221)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
61.0% (41)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
39.4% (175)
+4.8%
On power play, Jooris has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Jooris is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jooris
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.0% (786)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Stepan
Jooris
P1
47.5%
47.5%
P2
45.6%
44.3%
P3
46.8%
51.3%
OT
40.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |