Scouting Report
Kevin Rooney holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Rooney 49.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.3%
Defensive zone
Rooney 66.3%
Neutral zone
Rooney 55.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Stepan
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Rooney
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Rooney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Rooney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
48.2% (334)
-1.4%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
40.0% (5)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
60.0% (40)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Rooney is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Stepan
Rooney
Home
48.6% (666)
52.0% (198)
Away
46.1% (710)
46.4% (181)
By Period
Stepan
Rooney
P1
46.3%
55.3%
P2
50.7%
40.3%
P3
45.5%
55.1%
OT
39.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |