Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Goc 52.3% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 38-36 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 71.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 58.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Stepan
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
38
(74 meetings)
36
38
Stepan
Goc
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
19
10
Stepan
Goc
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
6
13
Stepan
Goc
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
11
15
Stepan
Goc
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
53.0% (3,301)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
58.0% (314)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
47.4% (728)
-3.2%
On power play, Goc has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Stepan
Goc
Home
47.6% (6,608)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Stepan
Goc
P1
47.5%
51.9%
P2
45.6%
53.1%
P3
46.8%
52.4%
OT
40.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |