Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Stepan wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Goc 53.8% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 57.4%
Defensive zone
Goc 90.5%
Neutral zone
Goc 78.5%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Stepan
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stepan
Goc
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
2
Stepan
Goc
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Stepan
Goc
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Stepan
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
54.5% (512)
-11.0%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
65.0% (20)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
52.3% (153)
-9.3%
On power play, Goc has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Stepan shoots right. Goc is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Stepan
Goc
Home
45.6% (629)
57.2% (383)
Away
42.5% (603)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Stepan
Goc
P1
44.7%
53.9%
P2
43.7%
51.2%
P3
43.9%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |