Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Reasoner 53.7% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 90.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 78.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 84.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Stepan
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Stepan
Reasoner
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Reasoner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
7
Stepan
Reasoner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
4
9
Stepan
Reasoner
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
55.7% (1,642)
-9.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
56.9% (72)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
45.5% (413)
-1.3%
On even strength, Reasoner has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Stepan
Reasoner
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Stepan
Reasoner
P1
47.5%
53.1%
P2
45.6%
53.1%
P3
46.8%
55.3%
OT
40.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | OT | 00:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |