Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 80.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 77.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Stepan
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Stepan
Hendricks
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
6
7
Stepan
Hendricks
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
5
Stepan
Hendricks
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Hendricks
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
55.0% (1,616)
-8.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.6% (38)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.4% (446)
-4.2%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Stepan
Hendricks
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Stepan
Hendricks
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
45.6%
53.3%
P3
46.8%
53.6%
OT
40.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |