Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Hendricks 54.9% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.9%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 67.2%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 56.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Stepan
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Stepan
Hendricks
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Hendricks
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Stepan
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
55.3% (197)
-7.3%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
50.0% (2)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
61.7% (60)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Hendricks is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Stepan
Hendricks
Home
47.4% (460)
55.3% (123)
Away
44.5% (517)
58.1% (136)
By Period
Stepan
Hendricks
P1
50.3%
58.7%
P2
38.4%
49.5%
P3
49.4%
63.2%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |