Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Read 42.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 66.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 63.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Stepan
Read
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Stepan
Read
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Read
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
3
Stepan
Read
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Read
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Read
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
42.0% (395)
+4.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
41.5% (41)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
33.3% (87)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Read is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Stepan
Read
Home
47.6% (6,608)
42.8% (250)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
38.8% (276)
By Period
Stepan
Read
P1
47.5%
42.5%
P2
45.6%
41.5%
P3
46.8%
38.1%
OT
40.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Matt Read |