Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Read 43.2% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 63.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Stepan
Read
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stepan
Read
Last 5: Stepan 3-2 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Read
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Read
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Read
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
27.5% (40)
+20.5%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
50.0% (4)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
25.0% (4)
+16.6%
On even strength, Stepan has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Stepan is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Stepan shoots right. Read is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Stepan
Read
Home
47.4% (460)
23.5% (17)
Away
44.5% (517)
32.3% (31)
By Period
Stepan
Read
P1
50.3%
20.0%
P2
38.4%
36.4%
P3
49.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
23.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
29.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Matt Read |