Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Stajan 49.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 73.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 65.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Stepan
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Stepan
Stajan
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
1
Stepan
Stajan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
9
Stepan
Stajan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
2
Stepan
Stajan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.2% (4,944)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
43.2% (176)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
46.1% (864)
-1.9%
On power play, Stepan has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Stepan
Stajan
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Stepan
Stajan
P1
47.5%
50.3%
P2
45.6%
48.5%
P3
46.8%
49.4%
OT
40.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |