Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Handzus 51.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 71.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Stepan
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stepan
Handzus
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Handzus
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
3
Stepan
Handzus
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
3
Stepan
Handzus
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.5% (2,438)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
58.0% (286)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
47.3% (471)
-3.1%
On power play, Handzus has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Handzus is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,055).
Home / Away
Stepan
Handzus
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Stepan
Handzus
P1
47.5%
52.5%
P2
45.6%
53.7%
P3
46.8%
48.4%
OT
40.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |