Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Handzus 50.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 83.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 64.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Stepan
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Handzus
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Handzus
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
2
Stepan
Handzus
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
2
Stepan
Handzus
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
49.6% (682)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
61.6% (73)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
51.7% (58)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Handzus has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Handzus is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Stepan
Handzus
Home
45.6% (463)
51.7% (472)
Away
43.3% (404)
49.3% (343)
By Period
Stepan
Handzus
P1
50.2%
51.9%
P2
39.4%
51.5%
P3
45.7%
48.1%
OT
38.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |