Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Fisher 51.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 24-16 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 71.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 76.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 83.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Stepan
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
24
(40 meetings)
16
24
Stepan
Fisher
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
4
Stepan
Fisher
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
6
7
Stepan
Fisher
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
7
13
Stepan
Fisher
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.4% (6,100)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
53.8% (1,126)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.8% (781)
-4.6%
On power play, Fisher has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Home / Away
Stepan
Fisher
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Stepan
Fisher
P1
47.5%
49.6%
P2
45.6%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
52.2%
OT
40.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |