Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Fisher 48.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 61.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Stepan
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Fisher
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Stepan
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Stepan
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
48.0% (945)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
50.3% (167)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
46.0% (87)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Stepan is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Stepan shoots right. Fisher is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Stepan
Fisher
Home
45.6% (463)
49.4% (648)
Away
43.3% (404)
47.1% (569)
By Period
Stepan
Fisher
P1
50.2%
48.4%
P2
39.4%
48.3%
P3
45.7%
49.4%
OT
38.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |