Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Fisher 54.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 64.0%
Defensive zone
Fisher 87.4%
Neutral zone
Fisher 79.8%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Stepan
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stepan
Fisher
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Fisher
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
Fisher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
55.0% (908)
-6.8%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
59.8% (189)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
49.7% (183)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Stepan is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Stepan shoots right. Fisher is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Stepan
Fisher
Home
46.4% (774)
54.3% (661)
Away
47.7% (748)
55.6% (619)
By Period
Stepan
Fisher
P1
46.7%
50.1%
P2
46.3%
57.7%
P3
48.1%
56.0%
OT
47.6%
61.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |