Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 64.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 91.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 69.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Stepan
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
15
(37 meetings)
22
15
Stepan
Ribeiro
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
4
Stepan
Ribeiro
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
11
5
Stepan
Ribeiro
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
8
6
Stepan
Ribeiro
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
42.9% (4,887)
+3.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
45.6% (930)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
33.3% (147)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Stepan
Ribeiro
Home
47.6% (6,608)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Stepan
Ribeiro
P1
47.5%
42.6%
P2
45.6%
44.3%
P3
46.8%
41.8%
OT
40.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |