Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Richards 50.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 66.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 71.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 67.4%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Stepan
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
15
(35 meetings)
20
15
Stepan
Richards
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
12
3
Stepan
Richards
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
9
Stepan
Richards
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
3
Stepan
Richards
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.0% (3,722)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.6% (445)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
51.4% (502)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Stepan
Richards
Home
47.6% (6,608)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Stepan
Richards
P1
47.5%
49.6%
P2
45.6%
52.3%
P3
46.8%
49.3%
OT
40.7%
58.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |