Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Koivu 54.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 67-53 in 120 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 75.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Stepan
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
67
(120 meetings)
53
67
Stepan
Koivu
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
26
18
Stepan
Koivu
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
12
24
Stepan
Koivu
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
15
25
Stepan
Koivu
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
54.0% (9,465)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
58.6% (2,100)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.9% (1,688)
-4.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Stepan
Koivu
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Stepan
Koivu
P1
47.5%
53.5%
P2
45.6%
54.6%
P3
46.8%
54.0%
OT
40.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |