Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Koivu 54.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 84.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 76.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 84.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Stepan
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
16
(21 meetings)
5
16
Stepan
Koivu
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Stepan
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
5
Stepan
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
7
Stepan
Koivu
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
54.0% (948)
-10.2%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
58.7% (225)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
54.3% (138)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Koivu is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Stepan
Koivu
Home
47.8% (828)
59.8% (669)
Away
42.0% (684)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Stepan
Koivu
P1
49.5%
53.4%
P2
42.0%
56.2%
P3
44.3%
56.3%
OT
41.2%
36.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |