Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Antropov 45.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Antropov leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Antropov 63.3%
Defensive zone
Antropov 63.5%
Neutral zone
Antropov 64.0%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Stepan
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Stepan
Antropov
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Antropov
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Antropov
3
7
Stepan
Antropov
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
1
9
Stepan
Antropov
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
45.7% (1,209)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
45.5% (191)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
39.0% (77)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Antropov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Stepan
Antropov
Home
47.6% (6,608)
48.0% (704)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
42.4% (786)
By Period
Stepan
Antropov
P1
47.5%
42.8%
P2
45.6%
47.0%
P3
46.8%
45.6%
OT
40.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Oct 24, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |