Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Antropov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Antropov 44.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Antropov leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Antropov 61.4%
Defensive zone
Antropov 52.4%
Neutral zone
Antropov 59.0%
Result
Nik Antropov favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Stepan
Antropov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Stepan
Antropov
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Antropov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Antropov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Antropov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Antropov
0
4
Stepan
Antropov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Antropov
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
44.7% (262)
+3.3%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
28.2% (39)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
0.0% (3)
+41.6%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Antropov shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Antropov is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Stepan
Antropov
Home
47.4% (460)
42.7% (110)
Away
44.5% (517)
41.8% (194)
By Period
Stepan
Antropov
P1
50.3%
41.7%
P2
38.4%
45.1%
P3
49.4%
39.4%
OT
27.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Antropov
42.0%▲
39.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Nik Antropov |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Nik Antropov |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |