Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.3%). Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 61.9%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 55.7%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 60.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Stepan
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
20
(30 meetings)
10
20
Stepan
Jokinen
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Stepan
Jokinen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
6
Stepan
Jokinen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
10
Stepan
Jokinen
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
45.8% (3,924)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.8% (585)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.9% (247)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jokinen
Home
47.6% (6,608)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Stepan
Jokinen
P1
47.5%
45.6%
P2
45.6%
47.5%
P3
46.8%
45.4%
OT
40.7%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |