Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Jokinen 47.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Stepan
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Stepan
Jokinen
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
2
Stepan
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
4
Stepan
Jokinen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
7
Stepan
Jokinen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
46.8% (566)
+1.2%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
53.4% (58)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
80.0% (5)
-38.4%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Jokinen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jokinen
Home
47.4% (460)
49.5% (319)
Away
44.5% (517)
45.7% (311)
By Period
Stepan
Jokinen
P1
50.3%
49.1%
P2
38.4%
47.9%
P3
49.4%
46.4%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:02 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 00:02 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |