Derek Stepan vs Patrik Berglund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Berglund 48.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 56.1%
Defensive zone
Berglund 63.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 66.8%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Stepan
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Stepan
Berglund
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
9
5
Stepan
Berglund
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
4
Stepan
Berglund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
3
Stepan
Berglund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.0% (4,697)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.3% (548)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
43.2% (461)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Stepan
Berglund
Home
47.6% (6,608)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Stepan
Berglund
P1
47.5%
49.3%
P2
45.6%
48.2%
P3
46.8%
49.0%
OT
40.7%
39.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |