Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Berglund 50.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 55.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 77.8%
Neutral zone
Berglund 73.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Stepan
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stepan
Berglund
Last 5: Stepan 4-1 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
50.5% (982)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
55.7% (79)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
40.7% (108)
-2.8%
On power play, Berglund has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Stepan
Berglund
Home
46.4% (774)
50.7% (548)
Away
47.7% (748)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Stepan
Berglund
P1
46.7%
49.6%
P2
46.3%
50.5%
P3
48.1%
49.6%
OT
47.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |