Scouting Report
Pavel Datsyuk holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Datsyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Datsyuk 53.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 75.2%
Defensive zone
Datsyuk 64.6%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 68.7%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Stepan
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stepan
Datsyuk
Last 8: Stepan 5-3 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Datsyuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Datsyuk
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Datsyuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
51.6% (620)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
62.1% (145)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
51.4% (70)
-8.2%
On power play, Datsyuk has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Datsyuk is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Stepan
Datsyuk
Home
47.8% (828)
54.1% (423)
Away
42.0% (684)
52.7% (412)
By Period
Stepan
Datsyuk
P1
49.5%
48.5%
P2
42.0%
55.5%
P3
44.3%
55.5%
OT
41.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |