Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Peverley 57.7% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 84.5%
Defensive zone
Peverley 88.4%
Neutral zone
Peverley 89.2%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 87.4%
12.6%
87.4%
Stepan
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Stepan
Peverley
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
1
Stepan
Peverley
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Stepan
Peverley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
4
Stepan
Peverley
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
58.0% (1,715)
-11.5%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
57.0% (391)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
59.2% (333)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Stepan
Peverley
Home
47.6% (6,608)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Stepan
Peverley
P1
47.5%
59.6%
P2
45.6%
57.8%
P3
46.8%
57.0%
OT
40.7%
51.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 22, 2011 | OT | 04:46 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 22, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |