Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Peverley 58.6% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 86.9%
Defensive zone
Peverley 91.6%
Neutral zone
Peverley 93.2%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 92.1%
7.9%
92.1%
Stepan
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stepan
Peverley
Last 6: Stepan 5-1 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Peverley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
Peverley
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
62.8% (414)
-19.0%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
54.2% (96)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
52.2% (69)
-9.0%
On even strength, Peverley has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Stepan is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (484).
Stepan shoots right. Peverley is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Stepan
Peverley
Home
47.8% (828)
63.9% (324)
Away
42.0% (684)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Stepan
Peverley
P1
49.5%
63.3%
P2
42.0%
60.1%
P3
44.3%
58.0%
OT
41.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |