Scouting Report
Rob Niedermayer holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Niedermayer on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Niedermayer shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Niedermayer 47.6% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 80.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 72.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Stepan
Niedermayer
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Stepan
Niedermayer
Last 5: Stepan 0-5 Niedermayer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Niedermayer
0
2
Stepan
Niedermayer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Niedermayer
0
3
Stepan
Niedermayer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Niedermayer
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
48.1% (239)
-9.5%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
55.6% (9)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
33.3% (27)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Niedermayer has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Niedermayer shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Stepan shoots right. Niedermayer is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Stepan
Niedermayer
Home
39.0% (364)
50.4% (135)
Away
38.0% (355)
43.3% (141)
By Period
Stepan
Niedermayer
P1
39.4%
51.8%
P2
40.6%
42.7%
P3
36.4%
46.5%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Niedermayer
44.0%▬
45.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Rob Niedermayer |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Rob Niedermayer |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Rob Niedermayer |