Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shannon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Shannon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Shannon 45.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shannon 63.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.6%
Neutral zone
Shannon 56.3%
Result
Ryan Shannon favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Stepan
Shannon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stepan
Shannon
Last 7: Stepan 1-6 Shannon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Shannon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shannon
0
1
Stepan
Shannon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shannon
0
4
Stepan
Shannon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Shannon
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
44.1% (229)
+2.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
62.5% (8)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
37.5% (8)
+6.7%
On power play, Shannon has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shannon shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Shannon is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Stepan
Shannon
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.0% (98)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
39.6% (149)
By Period
Stepan
Shannon
P1
47.5%
46.1%
P2
45.6%
42.5%
P3
46.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Shannon
52.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Shannon |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Ryan Shannon |