Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Spooner 43.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Spooner 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 81.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 61.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Stepan
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Stepan
Spooner
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
2
Stepan
Spooner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
1
Stepan
Spooner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
2
3
Stepan
Spooner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
43.1% (1,540)
+3.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
46.3% (67)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.1% (19)
+2.1%
On even strength, Stepan has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Spooner is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Stepan
Spooner
Home
47.6% (6,608)
43.9% (779)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Stepan
Spooner
P1
47.5%
45.0%
P2
45.6%
46.2%
P3
46.8%
38.2%
OT
40.7%
35.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |