Scouting Report
Ryan White holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — White shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs White 51.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 61.5%
Defensive zone
White 64.1%
Neutral zone
White 75.3%
Result
Ryan White favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Stepan
White
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stepan
White
Last 9: Stepan 6-3 White
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
White
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
White
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
White
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
52.4% (288)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
68.4% (19)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
45.5% (44)
+2.0%
On power play, White has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
White shoots right. Stepan is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Stepan shoots right. White is 70.2% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Stepan
White
Home
47.7% (555)
53.3% (165)
Away
45.6% (548)
51.6% (186)
By Period
Stepan
White
P1
46.4%
58.1%
P2
45.7%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
White
48.0%▲
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan White |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Ryan White |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Ryan White |